Luton Town vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1959 |
WBA
4 - 0
LUT
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1959 |
LUT
1 - 2
CHL
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
WHU
3 - 1
LUT
68%
18%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
LUT
1 - 5
WOL
24%
23%
53%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1959 |
SHW
2 - 0
LUT
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1959 |
BUR
4 - 3
MAC
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1959 |
BBU
3 - 2
BUR
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
BUR
1 - 4
BPO
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
TOT
1 - 1
BUR
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1959 |
BUR
3 - 1
BIR
60%
21%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |