FA Cup 1/128
Global 3-1
Luton Town vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
LUT
0 - 0
CUM
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BHA
3 - 1
LUT
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
LUT
0 - 1
EVE
24%
24%
52%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
LUT
2 - 1
NTT
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
CRE
2 - 0
LUT
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 0
BRE
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 2
BRE
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
BRE
1 - 0
LIN
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ROC
1 - 1
BRE
64%
22%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
BRE
1 - 1
ROT
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |