Luton Town vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
WRE
1 - 2
LUT
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
LUT
1 - 0
MKD
72%
18%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
BOU
0 - 1
LUT
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
LUT
1 - 0
BPO
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
GUL
1 - 4
LUT
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
BRE
0 - 1
HUR
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
BRA
4 - 1
BRE
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2005 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRA
39%
26%
34%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
BRE
1 - 0
BRI
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
STO
1 - 2
BRE
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |