Luton Town vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
POS
2 - 2
LUT
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
LUT
1 - 1
SHW
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
LUT
2 - 2
COL
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
CHE
0 - 1
LUT
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
BRI
1 - 2
LUT
46%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
BRE
1 - 0
WAL
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
BOU
3 - 2
BRE
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
SWI
3 - 0
BRE
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
BRE
1 - 3
GUL
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
BRE
1 - 0
COL
44%
26%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |