Luton Town vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1956 |
SUN
1 - 2
LUT
68%
17%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1956 |
LUT
1 - 2
HUR
54%
22%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1956 |
BPO
3 - 2
LUT
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1956 |
LUT
0 - 2
MUD
38%
23%
39%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1956 |
WBA
3 - 1
LUT
59%
20%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1956 |
BOL
2 - 1
SHE
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1956 |
EVE
1 - 0
BOL
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1956 |
BOL
1 - 0
ASV
61%
20%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1956 |
WOL
4 - 2
BOL
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1956 |
SUN
0 - 0
BOL
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |