Luton Town vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1958 |
ARS
1 - 0
LUT
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1958 |
LUT
6 - 3
ARS
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1958 |
LUT
1 - 1
BBU
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1958 |
BPO
3 - 0
LUT
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1958 |
LUT
0 - 1
WOL
35%
24%
41%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1958 |
MAC
4 - 1
BIR
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1958 |
BIR
6 - 1
MAC
52%
20%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1958 |
BIR
4 - 1
ASV
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1958 |
BIR
4 - 2
BPO
49%
22%
28%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1958 |
CHL
1 - 0
BIR
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |