Luton Town vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
PLY
2 - 1
LUT
43%
25%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
BPO
5 - 2
LUT
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
LUT
2 - 3
POS
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
STF
0 - 2
LUT
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
LUT
0 - 0
MAC
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 0
QPR
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 1
CHE
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
SWI
3 - 1
BAR
36%
25%
38%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
WIM
0 - 1
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
BAR
0 - 2
NOR
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |