Luton Town vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
STO
3 - 1
LUT
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1998 |
LUT
2 - 0
COV
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
GIL
1 - 0
LUT
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1998 |
LUT
1 - 0
NOR
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
LUT
2 - 0
OLD
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
BAR
1 - 1
BCF
69%
20%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1998 |
QPR
2 - 1
BAR
28%
28%
45%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
WOL
1 - 1
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1998 |
BAR
2 - 1
BOU
69%
19%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
BAR
2 - 1
OPA
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |