Luton Town vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 2
LUT
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
DAG
0 - 2
LUT
29%
27%
45%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LUT
1 - 2
PLY
47%
27%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
LUT
1 - 1
LEY
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CRA
2 - 1
LUT
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
BPO
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
EXE
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
OXF
2 - 3
BAR
56%
26%
19%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 1
BAR
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 1
YOR
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |