Luton Town vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1989 |
LUT
7 - 2
MAN
89%
8%
3%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
MAC
3 - 1
LUT
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
LUT
1 - 1
WIM
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1989 |
MAN
3 - 4
LUT
16%
22%
62%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
COV
1 - 0
LUT
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
WOL
1 - 1
ASV
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
ASV
1 - 0
DER
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
ASV
1 - 3
QPR
45%
28%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1989 |
ASV
2 - 1
WOL
79%
14%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
SHW
1 - 0
ASV
53%
24%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |