Luton Town vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1988 |
DER
0 - 1
LUT
36%
29%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1988 |
LUT
0 - 0
NEW
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1988 |
LUT
3 - 1
MAC
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1988 |
NOR
2 - 2
LUT
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1988 |
LUT
4 - 1
WHU
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1988 |
MID
3 - 3
ASV
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1988 |
ASV
3 - 1
NOR
49%
26%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1988 |
ASV
6 - 2
IPS
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1988 |
COV
2 - 1
ASV
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1988 |
ASV
1 - 2
DER
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |