Luton Town vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
LUT
3 - 2
MAC
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1956 |
WOL
5 - 4
LUT
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
CHA
1 - 2
LUT
59%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1956 |
LUT
1 - 0
WOL
38%
23%
39%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1956 |
LUT
6 - 2
SUN
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
ASV
3 - 2
BPO
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1956 |
ASV
0 - 0
WBA
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
MAC
1 - 1
ASV
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1956 |
WBA
2 - 0
ASV
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1956 |
ASV
3 - 1
CHA
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |