Luton Town vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
LUT
0 - 2
NTT
48%
24%
27%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
WBA
1 - 0
LUT
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
LUT
1 - 1
IPS
40%
25%
36%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
BIR
2 - 3
LUT
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
LUT
1 - 1
MUD
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
ARS
0 - 0
BIR
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
NTT
3 - 0
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
ARS
2 - 0
WBA
55%
25%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
IPS
0 - 1
ARS
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
ARS
2 - 3
WHU
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |