Luton Town vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1956 |
MUD
3 - 1
LUT
79%
13%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1956 |
LUT
3 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
CHL
4 - 1
LUT
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
LUT
1 - 1
PNE
46%
23%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
BUR
1 - 1
LUT
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1956 |
ARS
1 - 1
SUN
62%
19%
20%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1956 |
LEE
3 - 3
ARS
43%
24%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
ARS
3 - 0
BOL
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
WOL
5 - 2
ARS
70%
16%
14%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
ARS
2 - 1
ASV
65%
19%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |