Luton Town vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
LUT
6 - 3
HIS
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
TAM
1 - 1
LUT
27%
28%
46%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
LUT
6 - 0
GRA
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
STE
0 - 1
LUT
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
LUT
4 - 0
SAL
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
ALT
0 - 1
STE
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ALT
0 - 1
OXF
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
YOR
2 - 1
ALT
55%
26%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ALT
3 - 2
KID
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
4 - 3
ALT
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |