FA Cup 1/128
Global 0-0
Luton Town vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
WAL
0 - 1
LUT
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
STF
3 - 0
LUT
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BCF
1 - 2
LUT
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
GRI
2 - 2
LUT
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
LUT
1 - 2
STA
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
ALT
0 - 1
HIS
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
WEY
2 - 0
ALT
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ALT
1 - 0
OXF
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
SAL
1 - 3
ALT
53%
26%
22%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ALT
2 - 0
EBB
31%
27%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |