Luton Town vs AFC Telford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
HYD
1 - 2
LUT
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
KID
0 - 2
LUT
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LUT
2 - 2
GAT
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
LUT
1 - 0
LEY
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
LUT
2 - 0
IPS
28%
23%
49%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AFC
3 - 0
BRA
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 2
FOR
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
AFC
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
BIR
8%
17%
74%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 2
WOL
10%
18%
72%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |