Lusitanos vs UE Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SCO
0 - 2
LUS
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FCR
1 - 3
LUS
42%
24%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
LUS
2 - 0
INT
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
LUS
8 - 2
FCE
65%
19%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
FCE
0 - 5
LUS
41%
23%
36%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UE Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
UES
2 - 2
SJU
33%
24%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PRI
5 - 0
UES
33%
25%
43%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
UES
1 - 4
SCO
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
UES
4 - 1
UEE
85%
10%
5%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
UEE
0 - 4
UES
15%
19%
67%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |