Lusitanos vs FC Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
50.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 1
UES
41%
23%
36%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
UES
1 - 1
LUS
45%
23%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 1
SJU
28%
25%
48%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SCO
1 - 1
LUS
56%
23%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
UES
2 - 2
LUS
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
SCO
2 - 0
SJU
38%
23%
40%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SJU
0 - 3
SCO
56%
20%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
UES
0 - 0
SCO
40%
24%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SCO
1 - 1
LUS
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SCO
1 - 1
SJU
35%
25%
41%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |