Lusitanos vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 1
FCO
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
UES
2 - 3
LUS
46%
25%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 4
SCO
37%
25%
39%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SJU
2 - 0
LUS
42%
25%
34%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 0
UEE
78%
14%
7%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SJU
3 - 1
PEN
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 3
FCO
35%
22%
43%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
UEE
1 - 0
PEN
63%
19%
19%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 5
UES
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FCE
1 - 0
PEN
61%
19%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |