Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 2-5
Lusitanos vs Domžale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
DOM
3 - 1
LUS
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 6
SJU
46%
25%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UES
1 - 3
LUS
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SCO
0 - 0
LUS
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SJU
2 - 3
LUS
44%
25%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
DOM
3 - 1
LUS
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
DOM
3 - 1
RAD
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
DOM
3 - 2
SHK
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
KRS
0 - 0
DOM
30%
30%
40%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
DOM
0 - 3
CEL
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |