Lusitano VRSA vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SCP
3 - 1
LUS
96%
3%
1%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
LUS
0 - 1
ATL
38%
24%
39%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
OLH
1 - 0
LUS
84%
10%
7%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
VIT
5 - 0
LUS
80%
12%
8%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 0
SPB
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
VST
2 - 1
VIT
54%
21%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1949 |
VST
0 - 5
SLB
21%
19%
61%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1949 |
VST
1 - 0
FCP
35%
22%
44%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
VST
8 - 1
ACA
71%
15%
14%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
VST
5 - 0
BOA
63%
19%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |