Lusitano VRSA vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
OEL
6 - 1
LUS
75%
14%
11%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
LUS
2 - 4
ACA
52%
20%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
SLB
4 - 1
LUS
94%
4%
2%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
LUS
5 - 4
BEL
10%
18%
72%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
ATL
6 - 1
LUS
82%
10%
7%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
OLH
1 - 1
VIT
69%
16%
15%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
VIT
3 - 1
OEL
68%
16%
17%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
ACA
0 - 0
VIT
65%
18%
18%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
VIT
3 - 5
SLB
25%
21%
54%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
BEL
1 - 0
VIT
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |