Lusitano VRSA vs Sporting Viana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FAB
1 - 1
LUS
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
LUS
5 - 1
JUV
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
LUS
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
3 - 1
FCC
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
4 - 1
LOU
30%
27%
42%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Sporting Viana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VIA
2 - 2
PIN
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
VIA
1 - 2
NAV
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PMI
2 - 3
VIA
25%
23%
52%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VIA
0 - 2
VIA
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |