Lusitano VRSA vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
82.2%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.3%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
SPC
3 - 0
LUS
76%
14%
11%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
LUS
3 - 1
FCP
16%
19%
65%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
VST
4 - 2
LUS
75%
14%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
LUS
4 - 1
EST
14%
18%
69%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
OLH
4 - 2
LUS
85%
9%
6%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
VST
3 - 1
SCP
20%
19%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
SCP
6 - 0
OLH
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
SCP
5 - 1
EST
80%
11%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
VIT
1 - 2
SCP
23%
19%
58%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
SCP
2 - 1
OEL
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |