Lusitano VRSA vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1950 |
LUS
2 - 0
SCP
6%
11%
82%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
SPC
3 - 0
LUS
76%
14%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
LUS
3 - 1
FCP
16%
19%
65%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
VST
4 - 2
LUS
75%
14%
11%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
LUS
4 - 1
EST
14%
18%
69%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
SPB
1 - 1
VIT
58%
19%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
OEL
4 - 1
SPB
55%
20%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
SPB
3 - 1
ACA
66%
17%
17%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
SLB
4 - 2
SPB
89%
7%
4%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
BEL
2 - 1
SPB
85%
9%
6%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |