Lusitano VRSA vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
LUS
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 1
FER
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
QUA
0 - 1
LUS
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 1
PRA
49%
24%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALJ
3 - 3
LUS
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MOU
2 - 1
QUA
64%
22%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MOU
2 - 2
PRA
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALJ
1 - 3
MOU
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MOU
0 - 0
ANG
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 0
FER
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |