Lusitano VRSA vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
QUA
1 - 0
LUS
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ESP
3 - 0
LUS
60%
21%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 1
EST
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ANA
3 - 1
LUS
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 0
CIN
45%
24%
32%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MOU
2 - 0
PRA
57%
22%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
MOU
88%
10%
3%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MOU
5 - 0
ALM
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
EDL
0 - 2
MOU
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MOU
3 - 2
UNI
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |