Lusitano VRSA vs Grijó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
4 - 4
LUS
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LUS
3 - 1
BUS
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LUS
3 - 1
SES
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VAS
0 - 0
LUS
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 1
ALJ
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Grijó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GRI
3 - 1
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GRI
2 - 2
LOU
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ANA
3 - 2
GRI
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
GRI
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GRI
1 - 0
ALB
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |