Lusitano VRSA vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
68.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
VST
2 - 0
LUS
72%
15%
13%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
LUS
5 - 1
ACA
54%
19%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
SLB
6 - 1
LUS
95%
4%
2%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 1
BEL
6%
14%
81%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
SPB
7 - 1
LUS
79%
12%
8%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
FCP
3 - 1
VIT
85%
9%
6%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
FCP
5 - 2
VST
85%
9%
6%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
ACA
0 - 1
FCP
38%
21%
41%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
FCP
0 - 2
SLB
38%
20%
42%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
BEL
3 - 0
FCP
68%
16%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |