Lusitano VRSA vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
4 - 1
LOU
30%
27%
42%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
LUS
40%
26%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
PIN
27%
26%
47%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FCB
2 - 1
LUS
56%
23%
22%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 1
LUS
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 3
FCB
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 0
FCC
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 1
JUV
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
FCC
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
FCC
57%
21%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |