Lusitano VRSA vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
16%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 0
PIN
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
1DE
2 - 1
LUS
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
ALM
52%
23%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
LUS
29%
23%
48%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
MOU
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FCB
3 - 4
ATL
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 1
FCB
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FCB
2 - 2
1DE
35%
28%
38%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 0
FCB
53%
22%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FCB
1 - 0
ATL
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |