Lusitano VRSA vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
68.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
OLH
4 - 2
LUS
85%
9%
6%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
VIT
4 - 1
LUS
82%
11%
7%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 1
OEL
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
ACA
2 - 0
LUS
82%
11%
8%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 3
SLB
6%
12%
82%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
EST
1 - 1
VIT
76%
13%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
OEL
1 - 2
EST
31%
21%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
EST
1 - 1
ACA
73%
14%
13%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SLB
4 - 0
EST
78%
12%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
EST
1 - 2
BEL
50%
21%
28%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |