Lusitano VRSA vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
61.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1943 |
FAB
7 - 1
LUS
73%
15%
12%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1947 |
EST
8 - 0
VST
74%
14%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
SLE
3 - 5
EST
44%
21%
35%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1947 |
EST
6 - 1
ACA
77%
12%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1947 |
SCP
5 - 0
EST
88%
7%
5%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1947 |
EST
0 - 3
BEL
41%
22%
37%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |