Lusitano VRSA vs Bustelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LUS
3 - 1
SES
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VAS
0 - 0
LUS
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 1
ALJ
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LAG
1 - 0
LUS
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 2
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BUS
3 - 0
PAM
35%
25%
41%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ADN
3 - 3
BUS
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BUS
1 - 1
LUS
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
OPE
3 - 1
BUS
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BUS
2 - 2
CES
48%
24%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |