Lusitano VRSA vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.3%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
83.2%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.3%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.7%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.3%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
BEL
5 - 0
LUS
93%
5%
2%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
LUS
2 - 1
SPB
25%
21%
55%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
OLH
1 - 1
LUS
88%
8%
4%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
LUS
2 - 0
BOA
47%
22%
31%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
OEL
7 - 0
LUS
79%
13%
9%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCP
80%
11%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
VST
0 - 3
SLB
18%
18%
64%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
SLB
5 - 0
ACA
88%
7%
5%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
VIT
2 - 2
SLB
22%
19%
60%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
BEL
4 - 1
SLB
44%
20%
36%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |