Lusitano VRSA vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
80.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
SPB
7 - 1
LUS
79%
12%
8%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
LUS
0 - 0
OLH
34%
22%
44%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
BOA
2 - 1
LUS
77%
13%
10%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 1
OEL
42%
23%
35%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
EST
6 - 1
LUS
91%
6%
3%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
BEL
3 - 0
FCP
68%
16%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
VST
0 - 3
BEL
24%
23%
53%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
BEL
7 - 1
ACA
88%
8%
5%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
73%
15%
13%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
BEL
3 - 0
VIT
83%
10%
7%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |