Lusitano VRSA vs Atlético Reguengos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PIN
0 - 2
LUS
59%
22%
18%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FER
3 - 1
LUS
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
QUA
58%
23%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PRA
3 - 0
LUS
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LUS
6 - 0
ALJ
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Reguengos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
ALM
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
QUA
1 - 1
ATL
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
PRA
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ALJ
0 - 2
ATL
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
ANG
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |