Lusitano VRSA vs Atlético Reguengos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ANG
3 - 0
LUS
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LUS
4 - 3
ATL
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
LUS
46%
25%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 0
LUS
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 1
ALJ
67%
18%
14%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Reguengos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
OPE
18%
23%
59%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LUS
4 - 3
ATL
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
QUA
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 1
ATL
65%
20%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
MOU
33%
27%
40%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |