Lusitano VRSA vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MOU
0 - 1
LUS
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ATL
4 - 1
LUS
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 0
FCB
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 0
PIN
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
1DE
2 - 1
LUS
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
FCB
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PIN
3 - 3
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 3
1DE
33%
26%
41%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 2
ALM
38%
23%
40%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 2
ATL
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |