Lusitano VRSA vs Armacenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 0
FAB
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALJ
1 - 0
LUS
27%
22%
51%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LUS
4 - 3
ALM
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LUS
3 - 0
LOU
45%
26%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
VIA
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Armacenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ARM
2 - 3
ALJ
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARM
4 - 0
FAB
8%
14%
79%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | +8 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 1
ARM
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 42 | 31 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ARM
6 - 1
RED
42%
23%
35%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 3
LOU
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | 0 |