Lusitano VRSA vs Angrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 0
LUS
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 0
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ANG
3 - 0
LUS
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LUS
4 - 3
ATL
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
LUS
46%
25%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Angrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 0
QUA
68%
19%
12%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PRA
3 - 1
ANG
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ANG
3 - 0
LUS
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
QUA
0 - 3
ANG
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 1
MOU
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |