Lusitano VRSA vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
28%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
SLB
4 - 1
LUS
94%
4%
2%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
LUS
5 - 4
BEL
10%
18%
72%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
ATL
6 - 1
LUS
82%
10%
7%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
LUS
0 - 1
SPB
44%
23%
33%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1950 |
LUS
2 - 0
SCP
6%
11%
82%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | +2 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
ACA
0 - 0
VIT
65%
18%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
OEL
3 - 3
ACA
70%
15%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
OLH
3 - 3
ACA
74%
14%
13%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
ACA
3 - 4
SLB
18%
18%
65%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
79%
12%
9%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | -1 |