Lusitano FCV vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 1
GAF
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ADO
0 - 0
LUS
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
LUS
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 0
MAR
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 0
LUS
84%
12%
5%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 0
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
2 - 0
OLI
21%
23%
57%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SAL
1 - 1
OLI
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
OLI
3 - 1
ADO
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 1
AMA
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |