Lusitano FCV vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ADN
1 - 3
LUS
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 3
TON
7%
13%
80%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
OLI
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
LUS
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 1
GAF
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 1
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SAB
0 - 1
TOU
43%
25%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TOU
0 - 1
OLI
38%
28%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PAM
2 - 0
TOU
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ADN
1 - 2
TOU
55%
24%
20%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |