Lusitano FCV vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 1
ACV
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
LUS
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LUS
3 - 0
FAL
88%
9%
4%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LUS
4 - 1
FAL
78%
13%
9%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
OLE
2 - 0
LUS
28%
27%
45%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 2
UDL
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 1
GAF
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
BEN
22%
26%
52%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BEN
5 - 1
LEM
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
SER
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |