Lusitano FCV vs AD Sanjoanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
56.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 1
LUS
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
LUS
0 - 2
CAN
23%
25%
52%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
RDA
1 - 0
LUS
61%
22%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
LUS
1 - 1
ANA
14%
20%
66%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ESA
2 - 0
LUS
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ESP
3 - 3
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
LUS
35%
28%
37%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAS
62%
20%
19%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
BMA
2 - 0
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -2 |