Lusitano FCV vs AD Sanjoanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
PED
2 - 2
LUS
25%
27%
48%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
LUS
5 - 0
GAF
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
COI
0 - 0
LUS
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LUS
4 - 1
CES
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 4
SCP
5%
12%
83%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
RDA
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
GON
2 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
PED
55%
24%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
LEC
1 - 2
SAN
11%
18%
72%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |