Lusitano FCV vs AD Sanjoanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 6
LUS
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
4 - 1
LUS
45%
26%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
ANA
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 3
LUS
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 0
GAF
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
CES
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
1DE
2 - 3
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BUS
1 - 2
SAN
16%
22%
63%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 1
SOU
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |