Lusitano FCV vs RD Agueda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 2
LUS
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 1
UDL
28%
25%
48%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
UDL
3 - 1
LUS
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LUS
2 - 0
ADN
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ADM
0 - 3
LUS
20%
26%
54%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
RD Agueda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
RDA
0 - 0
ESP
26%
26%
48%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
RDA
0 - 2
OLI
14%
22%
64%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
RDA
0 - 2
TON
8%
17%
76%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 1
RDA
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
RDA
1 - 1
MAR
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |